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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Foster vs Kaleio Romero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Foster
us

Alex Foster

“The Infamous”

5-2-0LightweightFFC

1575Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach38,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
River Valley Combat AcademyTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex FosterNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Kaleio RomeroNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1
Not available
Takedown accuracy
8%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Alex FosterKaleio Romero
1500155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Foster56%
Kaleio Romero 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Foster a 56% favorite over Kaleio Romero in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaleio Romero's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1577), separated by just 2 points.

Alex Foster finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kaleio Romero 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.