Alex Garcia vs Eoin Sheridan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'5"
72,0"Reach81"
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
Tristar GymTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Eoin Sheridan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Alex Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1638
If they lose-15→ 1606
If they win+22→ 1669
If they lose-26→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex GarciaEoin Sheridan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eoin Sheridan83%
Alex Garcia 17%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Eoin Sheridan a 83% favorite over Alex Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Eoin Sheridan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1621, a 26-point edge.
Alex Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Eoin Sheridan enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Alex Garcia finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Eoin Sheridan 67%.
Eoin Sheridan carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.