Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Gilpin vs Jack Jenkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record14-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach 68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chosen Few GymTeamAbsolute Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex GilpinNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Jack JenkinsNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.80
Sig. strikes / min
4.50
54%
Strike accuracy
61%
12.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
43%
Strike defense
59%
2.17
Takedown avg.
1.78
25%
Takedown accuracy
64%
0%
Takedown defense
68%
2.17
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex GilpinJack Jenkins
165020242025

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
9 (60%)
Submission
3 (21%)
3 (20%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Jenkins60%
Alex Gilpin 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Jenkins a 60% favorite over Alex Gilpin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Alex Gilpin finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jack Jenkins 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.