Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Morono vs Carlston Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Morono
us

Alex Morono

“The Great White”

24-13-0WelterweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

24-13-0Record19-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRenovacao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex MoronoNow 1686
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Carlston HarrisNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.79
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
56%
Strike defense
54%
0.33
Takedown avg.
1.46
24%
Takedown accuracy
23%
48%
Takedown defense
56%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.59

Trajectory

Alex MoronoCarlston Harris
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (26%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
7 (30%)
Submission
6 (32%)
10 (43%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlston Harris60%
Alex Morono 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlston Harris a 60% favorite over Alex Morono in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1690), separated by just 4 points.

Alex Morono enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Morono finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Carlston Harris 58%.

Alex Morono and Carlston Harris share 1 common opponent: Santiago Ponzinibbio.

Carlston Harris carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2022
Santiago Ponzinibbio
LossTKO · 2025