Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Pereira vs Bas Rutten

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Alex Pereira
br

Alex Pereira

“Poatan”

13-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1787Great
Bas Rutten
nl

Bas Rutten

“El Guapo”

28-4-1Light Heavyweight

1781Great

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record28-4-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"Reach--
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PereiraNow 1787
If they win+16→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1771
Bas RuttenNow 1781
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1806 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
5.59
62%
Strike accuracy
61%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.06
54%
Strike defense
79%
0.11
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
0%
0.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex PereiraBas Rutten
17001750180020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
10 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
14 (50%)
2 (15%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Pereira60%
Bas Rutten 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Pereira a 60% favorite over Bas Rutten in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1781), separated by just 6 points.

Bas Rutten enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Bas Rutten 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.