Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
79"Reach81"
205 lbsWeight250 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1646 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Ciryl Gane is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alex Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1805
If they lose-14→ 1773
If they win+14→ 1845
If they lose-18→ 1813
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1805 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1779 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex PereiraCiryl Gane
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ciryl Gane68%
Alex Pereira 32%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 68% favorite over Alex Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ciryl Gane holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1831 to 1787, a 44-point edge.
Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ciryl Gane 71%.
Ciryl Gane carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.