Alex Pereira vs Fabrício Werdum
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record24-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach45,0"
205 lbsWeight246 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamWerdum Combat Team
What's at stake
Fabrício Werdum is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1804
If they lose-15→ 1772
If they win+11→ 1814
If they lose-13→ 1790
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1806 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PereiraFabrício Werdum
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Pereira70%
Fabrício Werdum 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Pereira a 70% favorite over Fabrício Werdum in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fabrício Werdum's way (48%).
Fabrício Werdum holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1803 to 1787, a 16-point edge.
Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Fabrício Werdum 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.