Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Pereira vs Ivan Shtyrkov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Pereira
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Alex Pereira

“Poatan”

13-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1787Great

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record23-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight237 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamArchangel Michael Club· 1764 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PereiraNow 1787
If they win+16→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1771
Ivan ShtyrkovNow 1783
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1804 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
0
62%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.23
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex PereiraIvan Shtyrkov
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (22%)
2 (15%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Pereira59%
Ivan Shtyrkov 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Pereira a 59% favorite over Ivan Shtyrkov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1783), separated by just 4 points.

Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Shtyrkov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.