Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record12-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamBlack Lion Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Alex Pereira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jamahal Hill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1799
If they lose-20→ 1767
If they win+20→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1806 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PereiraJamahal Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Pereira79%
Jamahal Hill 21%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Pereira a 79% favorite over Jamahal Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Alex Pereira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1704, a 83-point edge.
Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jamahal Hill 58%.
Alex Pereira and Jamahal Hill share 2 common opponents: Khalil Rountree Jr. and Jiří Procházka.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.