Alex Pereira vs Mirko Filipović
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record38-11-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight234 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCro Cop Top Team
What's at stake
Mirko Filipović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1804
If they lose-15→ 1772
If they win+11→ 1820
If they lose-13→ 1796
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1804 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PereiraMirko Filipović
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Pereira66%
Mirko Filipović 34%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Pereira a 66% favorite over Mirko Filipović in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mirko Filipović's way (47%).
Mirko Filipović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1787, a 22-point edge.
Mirko Filipović enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Mirko Filipović 89%.
Alex Pereira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.