Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Pereira vs Sean Strickland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Pereira
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Alex Pereira

“Poatan”

13-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1787Great

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record31-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex PereiraNow 1787
If they win+18→ 1805
If they lose-14→ 1773
Sean StricklandNow 1823
If they win+11→ 1834
If they lose-13→ 1810

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1806 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
62%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
54%
Strike defense
61%
0.11
Takedown avg.
0.71
50%
Takedown accuracy
64%
79%
Takedown defense
77%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Alex PereiraSean Strickland
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (13%)
2 (15%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Strickland62%
Alex Pereira 38%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 62% favorite over Alex Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1787, a 36-point edge.

Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.

Alex Pereira and Sean Strickland share 1 common opponent: Israel Adesanya.

Alex Pereira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
WinTKO · 2022
Israel Adesanya
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023