Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Pereira vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Pereira
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Alex Pereira

“Poatan”

13-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1787Great

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record17-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight262 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PereiraNow 1787
If they win+16→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1771
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1779
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1804 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
62%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.11
Takedown avg.
0.40
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
79%
Takedown defense
74%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Alex PereiraWaldo Cortes-Acosta
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (15%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta60%
Alex Pereira 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 60% favorite over Alex Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Pereira's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1779), separated by just 8 points.

Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.