Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Perez vs Carls John De Tomas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-10-0Record9-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamDe Tomas MMA

What's at stake

Alex Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Carls John De Tomas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex PerezNow 1707
If they win+4→ 1711
If they lose-20→ 1687
Carls John De TomasNow 1452
If they win+39→ 1491
If they lose-9→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.22
Sig. strikes / min
1.74
45%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
59%
Strike defense
45%
2.07
Takedown avg.
1.37
21%
Takedown accuracy
33%
74%
Takedown defense
67%
0.83
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex PerezCarls John De Tomas
15001600170020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
7 (27%)
Submission
4 (44%)
12 (46%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Perez79%
Carls John De Tomas 21%Elo baseline: 81%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 79% favorite over Carls John De Tomas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).

Alex Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1452, a 255-point edge.

Carls John De Tomas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Carls John De Tomas 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.