Alex Perez vs Joseph Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record14-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PerezJoseph Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Morales60%
Alex Perez 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Morales a 60% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1714), separated by just 7 points.
Joseph Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.
Alex Perez and Joseph Morales share 1 common opponent: Deiveson Figueiredo.
Joseph Morales carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.