Alex Perez vs Jussier Formiga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jussier Formiga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alex Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-11→ 1696
If they win+11→ 1737
If they lose-13→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PerezJussier Formiga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Perez64%
Jussier Formiga 36%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Perez a 64% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jussier Formiga's way (47%).
Jussier Formiga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1707, a 19-point edge.
Alex Perez finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.
Alex Perez and Jussier Formiga share 1 common opponent: Deiveson Figueiredo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.