Alex Reyes vs Charlie Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cage Combat AcademyTeamLongo-Weidman MMA
What's at stake
Charlie Campbell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alex Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1625
If they lose-14→ 1593
If they win+14→ 1654
If they lose-18→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ReyesCharlie Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charlie Campbell72%
Alex Reyes 28%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Campbell a 72% favorite over Alex Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Charlie Campbell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1607, a 33-point edge.
Alex Reyes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Campbell 67%.
Alex Reyes and Charlie Campbell share 1 common opponent: Tom Nolan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.