Alex Soto vs Victor Gabriel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-1Record8-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
KHK MMA Team· 1686 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTeam Furao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
If they win+16→ 1546
If they lose-16→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex SotoVictor Gabriel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Victor Gabriel55%
Alex Soto 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Victor Gabriel a 55% favorite over Alex Soto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Soto's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1530), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Soto finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Victor Gabriel 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.