Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexa Grasso vs Eduarda Moura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record12-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight117 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamGalpao da Luta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexa GrassoNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Eduarda MouraNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.11
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
41%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
58%
Strike defense
62%
0.41
Takedown avg.
3.73
35%
Takedown accuracy
38%
55%
Takedown defense
80%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Alexa GrassoEduarda Moura
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
2 (12%)
Submission
5 (42%)
10 (59%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexa Grasso and Eduarda Moura within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1705), separated by just 10 points.

Alexa Grasso finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Eduarda Moura 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.