Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexa Grasso vs Heather Jo Clark

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record8-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach64.00
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Alexa Grasso is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Heather Jo Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexa GrassoNow 1715
If they win+7→ 1722
If they lose-25→ 1690
Heather Jo ClarkNow 1497
If they win+37→ 1534
If they lose-11→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.11
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
41%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.62
58%
Strike defense
51%
0.41
Takedown avg.
0.33
35%
Takedown accuracy
4%
55%
Takedown defense
80%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Alexa GrassoHeather Jo Clark
150016001700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
2 (12%)
Submission
3 (38%)
10 (59%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexa Grasso88%
Heather Jo Clark 12%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexa Grasso a 88% favorite over Heather Jo Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Alexa Grasso holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1497, a 218-point edge.

Heather Jo Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexa Grasso finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Heather Jo Clark 63%.

Alexa Grasso carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.