Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexa Grasso vs Joanne Wood

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Alexa Grasso is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Joanne Wood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexa GrassoNow 1715
If they win+13→ 1728
If they lose-19→ 1696
Joanne WoodNow 1656
If they win+14→ 1670
If they lose-10→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.11
Sig. strikes / min
7.10
41%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.89
58%
Strike defense
51%
0.41
Takedown avg.
1.52
35%
Takedown accuracy
56%
55%
Takedown defense
59%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Alexa GrassoJoanne Wood
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
2 (12%)
Submission
1 (6%)
10 (59%)
Decision
11 (65%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexa Grasso78%
Joanne Wood 22%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexa Grasso a 78% favorite over Joanne Wood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Alexa Grasso holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1656, a 59-point edge.

Joanne Wood enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexa Grasso finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Joanne Wood 35%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.