Alexa Grasso vs Joanne Wood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Alexa Grasso is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Joanne Wood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1745
If they lose-19→ 1713
If they win+15→ 1671
If they lose-9→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexa GrassoJoanne Wood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexa Grasso72%
Joanne Wood 28%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexa Grasso a 72% favorite over Joanne Wood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Alexa Grasso holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1656, a 76-point edge.
Alexa Grasso enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joanne Wood enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexa Grasso finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Joanne Wood 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.