Alexa Grasso vs Viviane Araujo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-1Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamCerrado MMA
What's at stake
Alexa Grasso is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Viviane Araujo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-20→ 1695
If they win+20→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexa GrassoViviane Araujo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexa Grasso76%
Viviane Araujo 24%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexa Grasso a 76% favorite over Viviane Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Alexa Grasso holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1621, a 94-point edge.
Alexa Grasso finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Viviane Araujo 50%.
Alexa Grasso and Viviane Araujo share 1 common opponent: Natália Silva.
Viviane Araujo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.