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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Hernandez vs Genki Sudo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Genki Sudo
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Genki Sudo

“Neo-Samurai”

15-4-2LightweightK-1

1730Good

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record15-4-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamBeverly Hills Jiu-Jitsu Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander HernandezNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Genki SudoNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.23
Sig. strikes / min
1.55
40%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
60%
Strike defense
33%
1.05
Takedown avg.
3.58
11%
Takedown accuracy
60%
69%
Takedown defense
50%
0.08
Submission avg.
4.17

Trajectory

Alexander HernandezGenki Sudo
16501700175020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
2 (11%)
Submission
11 (73%)
8 (42%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Hernandez70%
Genki Sudo 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 70% favorite over Genki Sudo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1730), separated by just 1 points.

Genki Sudo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Hernandez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Genki Sudo 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.