Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Hernandez vs Khasan Dadalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
72"Reach-
148 lbsWeight147 lbs
Factory XTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 22 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander HernandezNow 1717
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705
Khasan DadalovNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.23
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
1.05
Takedown avg.
Not available
11%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
69%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.08
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alexander HernandezKhasan Dadalov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
2 (11%)
Submission
6 (35%)
8 (44%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Hernandez62%
Khasan Dadalov 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 62% favorite over Khasan Dadalov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khasan Dadalov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1718), separated by just 1 points.

Khasan Dadalov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alexander Hernandez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Khasan Dadalov 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.