Alexander Hernandez vs Rafael Fiziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach71"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezRafael Fiziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Fiziev59%
Alexander Hernandez 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 59% favorite over Alexander Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Hernandez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1731), separated by just 0 points.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.
Alexander Hernandez and Rafael Fiziev share 1 common opponent: Rafael dos Anjos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.