Alexander Hernandez vs Viktor Kolesnik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record27-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezViktor Kolesnik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Hernandez65%
Viktor Kolesnik 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 65% favorite over Viktor Kolesnik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Viktor Kolesnik's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1719), separated by just 2 points.
Viktor Kolesnik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Viktor Kolesnik 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.