Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Lööf vs Alexander O'Sullivan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record5-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamC-MAC· 1578 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Alexander O'Sullivan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Alexander Lööf carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander LööfNow 1565
If they win+17→ 1582
If they lose-15→ 1550
Alexander O'SullivanNow 1580
If they win+23→ 1603
If they lose-25→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Alexander LööfAlexander O'Sullivan
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (40%)
6 (67%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Lööf56%
Alexander O'Sullivan 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Lööf a 56% favorite over Alexander O'Sullivan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander O'Sullivan's way (48%).

Alexander O'Sullivan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1565, a 15-point edge.

Alexander Lööf finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Alexander O'Sullivan 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.