Combat Edge Model · Full card

ONE Friday Fights 177 predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on ONE Friday Fights 177 (November 6, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

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13Total bouts

13Frozen forecasts

12Close matchups

0Model / Elo splits

1Strong model leans

OpenPicks close at start

Card intelligence

Find the fights that matter

Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

Showing all 13 matchups.

Main card

Main card predictions

8 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Bantamweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

IsanNua Chotbangsaen0-0-0

Jack Apichat Muaythai0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%IsanNua Chotbangsaen50.1%Jack Apichat Muaythai

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Flyweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

Saksri Kiatmoo90-0-0

Superball0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Saksri Kiatmoo950.1%Superball

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Atomweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

Chatpet Suablackmuaythai0-0-0

Saipetlek Coachnatsamartmuaythai0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Chatpet Suablackmuaythai50.1%Saipetlek Coachnatsamartmuaythai

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Atomweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

Petdam SitErawan0-0-0

Chaisongkhram Looksuan0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Petdam SitErawan50.1%Chaisongkhram Looksuan

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Atomweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

Klinphakha Por.Thaisong0-0-0

Longshu Ran0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Klinphakha Por.Thaisong50.1%Longshu Ran

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Flyweight Kickboxingv0.8-2026-10-04

Phun Suea Muang0-0-0

Kazuteru Yamazaki0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Phun Suea Muang50.1%Kazuteru Yamazaki

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Bantamweight MMAv0.8-2026-10-04

Chayut Rojanakat5-0-0

Kentaro Okumura5-1-0

Close matchupModel + Elo agree

53%Chayut Rojanakat47%Kentaro Okumura

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 54% / 46%

Flyweight Kickboxingv0.8-2026-10-04

Marats Jankovskis0-0-0

Retsu Sashida0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Marats Jankovskis50.1%Retsu Sashida

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Prelims

Prelims predictions

5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Lightweight MMA World Championshipv0.8-2026-10-04

Christian Lee18-4-0

Tye Ruotolo2-0-0

Strong model leanModel + Elo agree

73%Christian Lee27%Tye Ruotolo

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 75% / 26%

Bantamweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

KomAwut FAGroup0-0-0

Yodphupha Wimanair0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%KomAwut FAGroup50.1%Yodphupha Wimanair

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Flyweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

Kongchai ChanaiDonMuang0-0-0

Tantawy Ahmed Hafez0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Kongchai ChanaiDonMuang50.1%Tantawy Ahmed Hafez

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Lightweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

Titus Proctor0-0-0

Maciej Karpiński0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Titus Proctor50.1%Maciej Karpiński

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Strawweight Muay Thaiv0.8-2026-10-04

Cal Cook0-0-0

Dabdam Thongtawee0-0-0

Close matchup50/50 baseline

49.9%Cal Cook50.1%Dabdam Thongtawee

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%