Alexander Matmuratov vs Devonte Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach76"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MatmuratovDevonte Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Matmuratov53%
Devonte Smith 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 53% favorite over Devonte Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1672), separated by just 1 points.
Devonte Smith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Devonte Smith 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.