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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Elves Brener

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664
Elves BrenerNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.76
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.99
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
76%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovElves Brener
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
1 (5%)
Submission
11 (65%)
12 (63%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Elves Brener52%
Alexander Matmuratov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elves Brener a 52% favorite over Alexander Matmuratov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Matmuratov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1676), separated by just 0 points.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Elves Brener 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.