Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Vinc Pichel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vinc Pichel
us

Vinc Pichel

“From Hell”

14-5-0LightweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Vinc PichelNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.78
TBD
Takedown accuracy
54%
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovVinc Pichel
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
1 (5%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (63%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov63%
Vinc Pichel 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 63% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.

Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.