Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Munoz vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72.00Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Alexander Munoz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander MunozNow 1509
If they win+37→ 1546
If they lose-11→ 1498
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1713
If they win+6→ 1719
If they lose-18→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.70
Sig. strikes / min
6.36
43%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6
55%
Strike defense
63%
3
Takedown avg.
0.34
40%
Takedown accuracy
5%
100%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander MunozNasrat Haqparast
150016001700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nasrat Haqparast92%
Alexander Munoz 8%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 92% favorite over Alexander Munoz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1509, a 204-point edge.

Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Munoz finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.