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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander O'Sullivan vs Douglas Silva de Andrade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record29-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
C-MAC· 1591 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamCorinthians MMA· 1591 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander O'SullivanNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.54
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.55
Not available
Takedown accuracy
43%
Not available
Takedown defense
73%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Alexander O'SullivanDouglas Silva de Andrade
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
20 (69%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (7%)
2 (40%)
Decision
7 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Silva de Andrade53%
Alexander O'Sullivan 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Silva de Andrade a 53% favorite over Alexander O'Sullivan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander O'Sullivan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1582), separated by just 0 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alexander O'Sullivan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Silva de Andrade 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.