Alexander O'Sullivan vs Jonathan Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
C-MACTeamCicero Costa
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander O'SullivanJonathan Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander O'Sullivan and Jonathan Garcia within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1583), separated by just 3 points.
Jonathan Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexander O'Sullivan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Garcia 80%.
Alexander O'Sullivan and Jonathan Garcia share 1 common opponent: Manuel Lancioli.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025