Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Poppeck vs Johnny Walker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
TBDReach82"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Munich Top TeamTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander PoppeckNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Johnny WalkerNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.90
58%
Strike accuracy
55%
9.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
33%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
0.36
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Alexander PoppeckJohnny Walker
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (14%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Walker53%
Alexander Poppeck 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 53% favorite over Alexander Poppeck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Poppeck's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1641), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Poppeck finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Walker 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.