Alexander Shabliy vs Landry Ward
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Peresvet Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Alexander Shabliy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Landry Ward carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1794
If they lose-17→ 1770
If they win+23→ 1654
If they lose-9→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander ShabliyLandry Ward
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Shabliy84%
Landry Ward 16%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Shabliy a 84% favorite over Landry Ward in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Alexander Shabliy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1631, a 156-point edge.
Landry Ward enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexander Shabliy finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Landry Ward 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.