Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Shlemenko vs Bo Nickal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

68-17-1Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
70"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander ShlemenkoNow 1751
If they win+12→ 1763
If they lose-12→ 1739
Bo NickalNow 1745
If they win+16→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
TBD
Strike accuracy
61%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.10
TBD
Takedown accuracy
56%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.48

Trajectory

Alexander ShlemenkoBo Nickal
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

35 (51%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
13 (19%)
Submission
4 (44%)
20 (29%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Bo Nickal65%
Alexander Shlemenko 35%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 65% favorite over Alexander Shlemenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Shlemenko's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1751 vs 1745), separated by just 6 points.

Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Shlemenko finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Bo Nickal 89%.

Bo Nickal carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.