Alexander Soldatkin vs Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record19-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
250 lbsWeight207 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAlash Pride
What's at stake
Alexander Soldatkin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1712
If they lose-17→ 1680
If they win+13→ 1694
If they lose-11→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander SoldatkinAsylzhan Bakhytzhanuly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Soldatkin54%
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Soldatkin a 54% favorite over Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Alexander Soldatkin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1681, a 16-point edge.
Alexander Soldatkin enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Soldatkin finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Asylzhan Bakhytzhanuly 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.