Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Soldatkin vs Jovan Leka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record14-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach75"
250 lbsWeight259 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFamily Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander SoldatkinNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Jovan LekaNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.16
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
60%
Strike accuracy
75%
1.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.60
26%
Strike defense
44%
1.45
Takedown avg.
1
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
56%
0
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Alexander SoldatkinJovan Leka
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
2 (14%)
Submission
4 (29%)
2 (14%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Jovan Leka63%
Alexander Soldatkin 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Leka a 63% favorite over Alexander Soldatkin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Soldatkin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1694), separated by just 3 points.

Alexander Soldatkin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jovan Leka enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Alexander Soldatkin finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jovan Leka 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.