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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Soldatkin vs Marcin Tybura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record27-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
250 lbsWeight247 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1609 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamAnkos MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander SoldatkinNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Marcin TyburaNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.16
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
60%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
26%
Strike defense
55%
1.45
Takedown avg.
1.30
50%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Alexander SoldatkinMarcin Tybura
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
10 (37%)
2 (14%)
Submission
7 (26%)
2 (14%)
Decision
10 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Tybura66%
Alexander Soldatkin 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 66% favorite over Alexander Soldatkin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Soldatkin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1707), separated by just 0 points.

Alexander Soldatkin enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexander Soldatkin finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.