Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Soldatkin vs Martin Buday

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
TBDReach77"
250 lbsWeight265 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1654 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander SoldatkinNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Martin BudayNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.16
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
60%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
26%
Strike defense
56%
1.45
Takedown avg.
0.15
50%
Takedown accuracy
20%
50%
Takedown defense
93%
0
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Alexander SoldatkinMartin Buday
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
2 (14%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (14%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Buday62%
Alexander Soldatkin 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 62% favorite over Alexander Soldatkin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1700), separated by just 3 points.

Alexander Soldatkin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Soldatkin finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.