Alexander Soldatkin vs Ruslan Shamilov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ruslan Shamilov58%
Alexander Soldatkin 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Shamilov a 58% favorite over Alexander Soldatkin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Soldatkin's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1715), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Soldatkin enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ruslan Shamilov enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Alexander Soldatkin finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Shamilov 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record18-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach-
250 lbsWeight207 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1612 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander SoldatkinRuslan Shamilov