Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Trevino vs Ebrahem Mahmoud

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-10-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach75''
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Fighter MMA AcademyTeamDiesel Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander TrevinoNow 1460
If they win+17→ 1477
If they lose-15→ 1445
Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander TrevinoEbrahem Mahmoud
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud70%
Alexander Trevino 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 70% favorite over Alexander Trevino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1460 vs 1471), separated by just 11 points.

Alexander Trevino enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Trevino finishes 89% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.