Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

40-11-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
80"Reach78"
258 lbsWeight262 lbs

What's at stake

Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Waldo Cortes-Acosta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkovNow 1830
If they win+10→ 1840
If they lose-14→ 1816
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1779
If they win+18→ 1797
If they lose-14→ 1765

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.84
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
58%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.40
31%
Takedown accuracy
0%
69%
Takedown defense
74%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Alexander VolkovWaldo Cortes-Acosta
1700175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (60%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
4 (10%)
Submission
1 (6%)
12 (30%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta60%
Alexander Volkov 40%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 60% favorite over Alexander Volkov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Volkov's way (43%).

Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1779, a 51-point edge.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Alexander Volkov and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Sergei Pavlovich.

Alexander Volkov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Sergei Pavlovich
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025