Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkov59%
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 41%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 59% favorite over Waldo Cortes-Acosta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1839 to 1737, a 102-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Alexander Volkov and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Sergei Pavlovich.
Alexander Volkov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
41-11-0Record17-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
80"Reach78"
258 lbsWeight262 lbs
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Waldo Cortes-Acosta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1848
If they lose-15→ 1824
If they win+21→ 1758
If they lose-11→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1749 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovWaldo Cortes-Acosta