Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Roosevelt Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74,0"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamAdrenaline Martial Arts

What's at stake

Roosevelt Roberts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alexander Yakovlev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1621
If they win+13→ 1634
If they lose-11→ 1610
Roosevelt RobertsNow 1640
If they win+15→ 1655
If they lose-17→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
47%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
59%
Strike defense
53%
1.66
Takedown avg.
1.18
35%
Takedown accuracy
27%
72%
Takedown defense
50%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.74

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevRoosevelt Roberts
165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
9 (36%)
Submission
5 (42%)
7 (28%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Roosevelt Roberts63%
Alexander Yakovlev 37%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Roosevelt Roberts a 63% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Roosevelt Roberts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1621, a 19-point edge.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Roosevelt Roberts 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.