Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Pantoja vs Deiveson Figueiredo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record25-7-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Figueiredo

What's at stake

Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Deiveson Figueiredo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandre PantojaNow 1808
If they win+10→ 1818
If they lose-14→ 1794
Deiveson FigueiredoNow 1764
If they win+14→ 1778
If they lose-10→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
50%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
50%
Strike defense
50%
2.80
Takedown avg.
1.61
48%
Takedown accuracy
35%
69%
Takedown defense
58%
0.98
Submission avg.
1.22

Trajectory

Alexandre PantojaDeiveson Figueiredo
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
12 (40%)
Submission
9 (36%)
10 (33%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandre Pantoja66%
Deiveson Figueiredo 34%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 66% favorite over Deiveson Figueiredo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1764, a 44-point edge.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Deiveson Figueiredo 72%.

Alexandre Pantoja and Deiveson Figueiredo share 1 common opponent: Brandon Moreno.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2023
Brandon Moreno
LossTKO - Doctor's Stoppage · 2023
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022