Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record17-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1657 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1820
If they lose-12→ 1796
If they win+16→ 1816
If they lose-16→ 1784
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaJoshua Van
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van66%
Alexandre Pantoja 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 66% favorite over Alexandre Pantoja in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexandre Pantoja's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1808 vs 1800), separated by just 8 points.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 65%.
Alexandre Pantoja and Joshua Van share 1 common opponent: Brandon Royval.
Alexandre Pantoja carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.