Alexandre Pantoja vs Manel Kape
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record23-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Manel Kape carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1818
If they lose-14→ 1794
If they win+19→ 1769
If they lose-13→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaManel Kape
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexandre Pantoja and Manel Kape within a point of even.
Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1750, a 58-point edge.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.
Alexandre Pantoja and Manel Kape share 1 common opponent: Brandon Royval.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.