Alexandre Pantoja vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record16-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
67"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1820
If they lose-12→ 1796
If they win+16→ 1821
If they lose-16→ 1789
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev66%
Alexandre Pantoja 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 66% favorite over Alexandre Pantoja in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexandre Pantoja's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1808 vs 1805), separated by just 3 points.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Alexandre Pantoja and Muhammad Mokaev share 2 common opponents: Alex Perez and Manel Kape.
Muhammad Mokaev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.