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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Ian Heinisch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ian Heinisch
us

Ian Heinisch

“The Hurricane”

14-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGenesis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Ian HeinischNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.02
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
60%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichIan Heinisch
160016501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (14%)
6 (32%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ian Heinisch56%
Alexey Shurkevich 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ian Heinisch a 56% favorite over Alexey Shurkevich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1685), separated by just 1 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ian Heinisch enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Ian Heinisch 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.