Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Josh Silveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record15-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"Reach75"
172 lbsWeight205 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1679 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1677
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665
Josh SilveiraNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichJosh Silveira
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (40%)
6 (32%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Silveira51%
Alexey Shurkevich 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Silveira a 51% favorite over Alexey Shurkevich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1680), separated by just 3 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Josh Silveira 80%.

Josh Silveira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.